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Written by Marcin Grajewski,
2016 may rank as an ‘annus horibilis’ for the European Union – a year when it confronted several simultaneous crises, or a ‘polycrisis’ as the President of the European Commission characterised the situation, including the United Kingdom’s decision to leave the EU, deadly terrorist attacks, migration pressures, growing Russian assertiveness, eurozone uncertainty and the shock-effect of Donald Trump’s election as U.S. President.
This note offers links to selected recent commentaries and reports from major international think tanks on those biggest challenges Europe has faced in 2016.
Brexit
EU external action and Brexit: Relaunch and reconnect
Notre Europe, Jacques Delors Institute, December 2016
After Brexit: New association agreement between Britain and Europe
Policy Network, October 2016
The UK trade landscape after Brexit
Chatham House, October 2016
How to ensure UK and European financial services continue to thrive after Brexit
Open Europe, October 2016
Brexit: Implications for the EU’s Energy and Climate Policy
Center for Security Studies, October 2016
The impact of Brexit on the EU Budget: A non-catastrophic event
Centre for European Policy Studies, July 2016
The impact of Brexit on the EU’s international agreements
Centre for European Policy Studies, July 2016
Theresa May and her six-pack of difficult deals
Centre for European Reform, July 2016
Europe after Brexit: A proposal for a continental partnership
Bruegel, August 2016
After the UK’s EU referendum: Dedefining relations between the “two Europes”
Fondation Robert Schuman, July 2016
More publications on the subject can be found in a previous edition of ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ published in October.
Terrorism
Crime and terror in Europe: Where the nexus is alive and well
International Centre for Counter-Terrorism, December 2016
Global terrorism index 2016
Institute for Economics and Peace, November 2016
Europe’s new counter-terror wars
European Council on Foreign Relations, October 2016
Fear not: A critical perspective on the terrorist threat in Europe
Egmont, September 2016
An EU terrorist finance tracking system
Royal United Services Institute, September 2016
Is terrorism contagious?
Egmont, August 2016
Unveiling the structure of unconventional organized crime investigating and prosecuting criminal networks within and beyond European borders
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, September 2016
Civilian crisis management: Towards a new paradigm
European Union Institute for Security Studies, July 2016
Lessons from history for counter-terrorism strategic communications
International Centre for Counter-Terrorism, June 2016
Can Europe counter new terrorist threats?
Carnegie Europe, June 2016
The fall-out from the Brussels terrorist attacks
European Policy Centre, June 2016
More publications on the subject can be found in a previous edition of ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ published in December.
Migration
Top 10 migration issues of 2016
Migration Policy Institute, December 2016
EU migration policies after the US elections: Pushing the limits?
European Policy Centre, November 2016
Did 2016 mark a new start for EU External Migration Policy, or was it business as usual?
Institute Affari Internazionali, November 2016
The Greek refugee camps and the reality of migration
Clingendael, November 2016
Managing migration abroad: Why, where, what and how
European Union Institute for Strategic Studies, November 2016
Documenting the migration crisis in the Mediterranean: Spaces of transit, migration management and migrant agency
Centre for European Policy Studies, September 2016
Les Européens et la question migratoire
Fondation Robert Schuman, September 2016
The climate change and migration nexus in a global context: What role for the EU in protecting climate migrants?
Heinrich Böll Stiftung, July 2016
People on the move: The new global (dis)order
European Union Institute for Security Studies, June 2016
Europe and its migration conundrum
Clingendael, June 2016
More publications on the subject can be found in a previous edition of ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ published in May.
Russia
Heavy metal diplomacy: Russia’s political use of its military in Europe since 2014
European Council on Foreign Relations, December 2016
Pushing back on Russian meddling in Western elections
Carnegie Europe, December 2016
Russia’s new information security doctrine: Guarding a besieged cyber fortress
Finnish Institute for International Affairs, December 2016
Conceivable surprises in Russian foreign policy
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, October 2016
Russia’s challenge to the European security order
German Marshall Fund of the United States, September 2016
Russian Parliamentary Elections 2016: A lifeline is needed for the non-systemic opposition
European Policy Centre, September 2016
EU-Russia: Beyond rivalries?
Notre Europe, Jacques Delors Institute, July 2016
EU-Russia interaction: Dense but tense
European Union Institute for Security Studies, June 2016
Europe and United States must prioritize unity to counter Russia’s aggression
Transatlantic Academy, May 2016
Russian state mobilization: Moving the country on to a war footing
Chatham House, May 2016
More publications on the subject can be found in a previous edition of ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ published in October.
President Trump
Can Trump save the euro?
Centre for European Policy Studies, December 2016
Lost in transition? US foreign policy from Obama to Trump
European Policy Centre, December 2016
America first… and Europe last? What will the Trump Presidency mean for Europe
Institut français des relations internationales, November 2016
Never waste a crisis: Trump is Europe’s opportunity
Brookings Institution, November 2016
Has Trump reshuffled the cards for Europe?
Egmont, November 2016
Trump’s election foreshadows further divisions in Europe
Centre for European Policy Studies, November 2016
What will President Trump mean for US allies?
Hudson Institute, November 2016
Trump and Europe: The sun sets on the West
Centre for European Reform, November 2016
Europe in the Trumpworld: EU trade and security under the new US executive
European Centre for International and Political Economy, November 2016
More publications on the subject can be found in a previous edition of ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ published in November.
Eurozone
European insurance union and how to get there
Bruegel, December 2016
What Millennials think about the future of the EU and the euro
Bertelsmann Stiftung, December 2016
Does the eurozone need a parliament?
Jacques Delors Institute, Berlin, November 2016
Assessing the euro area’s shock-absorption capacity: Risk sharing, consumption smoothing and fiscal policy
Centre for European Policy Studies, November 2016
Did fiscal consolidation cause the double-dip recession in the euro area?
Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, October 2016
Chances and risks of a European unemployment benefit
Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung, October 2016
What are the prerequisites for a euro-area fiscal capacity?
Bruegel, September 2016
The silent death of euro zone governance
Centre for European Policy Studies, August 2016
Euro zone stability still under the threat of a “bad shock”
Luiss School of European Political Economy, July 2016
On the future of EMU: Targeted reforms instead of more fiscal integration
Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft Köln, June 2016
More publications on the subject can be found in a previous edition of ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ published in September.
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[…] on the conclusions of the European Council meeting of 15 December 2016. It is clear that the ‘shocks and shifts’ of 2016 foreshadow serious challenges ahead – economic, migratory, social, and security – […]